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Trend 200 · BTC · version 1.0

Ride the trend

Owns Bitcoin while it is above its 200-day average, cash below.

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Results since 5 January 2024

If you had started with USD 1,000 on 5 January 2024, you would have had USD 1,703 on 12 October 2026 with these rules, against USD 1,854 just holding Bitcoin.

DateThese rulesJust holding Bitcoin
5 January 20241,0001,000
5 April 20241,5361,536
5 July 20241,2911,283
4 October 20241,2301,406
3 January 20251,8262,224
4 April 20251,3491,900
4 July 20251,5572,446
3 October 20251,7632,769
2 January 20261,4442,039
3 April 20261,4441,517
3 July 20261,4441,418
2 October 20261,7591,914
12 October 20261,7031,854

After fees of 0.1% per trade. Binance daily candles. The past does not promise the future.

The rules, in plain words

  1. Once a day, after the daily close, it compares Bitcoin's price with its average of the last 200 days.
  2. Above the average, your amount is held in Bitcoin.
  3. Below the average, it sells and keeps your amount in cash (USDT) until Bitcoin is back above.
  4. It acts at most once a day; most months it does nothing.

Risk

The hardest stretch since 2021 took USD 361 off USD 1,000 before it recovered (USD 766 for just holding Bitcoin). Choose an amount you can leave through a drop like that.

Details

  • What it trades: Bitcoin against USDT, spot only, no borrowing.
  • Trades that made money: 21% of 24 trades since 2021.
  • Time holding Bitcoin: 49% of days; the rest in cash.
  • Default safety stop: the rules pause themselves after a loss of 35% of the amount.
  • Results shown: in US dollars, from a start of USD 1,000, after fees.

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